Obama: Break Away from Hillary on Immigration

Obama16To me, the biggest surprise of the 2008 election is that the most wide open election in three generations is not that wide open.  The electorate is leaning heavily to early favorites Giuliani and Clinton, the two most centrist candidates. A Democratic Hawk vs. a Republican social liberal? My kind of election.

The biggest disappointment so far has been Barack Obama. Six months ago, the self-described "skinny kid with the funny last name" was a fresh new voice in politics.

Obama came across like Bill Clinton with a zipper and a moral compass. He made common cause with Christian fundamentalists over the environment or Darfur while taking them to task on abortion rights. He brought a compelling biography, a language that seemed perfectly pitched to this election, and a delightful family (a nontrivial asset — just ask Rudy Giuliani). He drew huge crowds and could light up the room — and actually still does.

At worst, Obama can be another Democratic hack (Iraq) or frighteningly naive (Iran) if intelligently conservative in other parts of his foreign policy. But set aside the future of human freedom for just a moment. Set aside his sometimes professorial style. The question is: can this guy play in the bigs? Certainly a lot of donors thought so — Obama has been an astonishingly successful fundraiser.

But can he do what a President has to do all the time and run to the center of his base? I argued that Obama booted his chance for a major Sister Soldja moment in neglecting to denounce Move-On.org for their "General Betray-Us" advertisement kindly subsidized by the New York Times.
These chances do not come often and when they do, a smart politician
grabs them (as Hillary did the following week by opposing the anti-war
wing of the party and voting to declare the Iranian Republican Guard a
terrorist organization).

Immigration, not Iraq, is the sleeping giant of the 2008 campaign. My advice to Obama: ditch the Democratic mainstream and give the following speech:

Remind voters that in the old days, Mexican laborers were sent home ("drying out the wetbacks") and had to sign new work contracts — often with the same employers who had just turned them in — if they wanted to return to El Norte and work. Remind people that this, roughly, is Bush’s plan — (and as a former Texas governor, Bush knows something about immigration, unlike some Republicans).

Promise that we will never return to 1948, when a plane carrying Mexican deportees from Oakland to El Centro crashed in the Central Valley near Los Gatos Creek, killing all 28 aboard. We recall the event today only because it moved Woodie Guthrie to pen his last song:

Some of us are illegal, and some are not wanted,
Our work contract’s out and we have to move on;
Six hundred miles to that Mexican border,
They chase us like outlaws, like rustlers, like thieves.

Is this the best way we can grow our big orchards? 
Is this the best way we can grow our good fruit?
To fall like dry leaves to rot on my topsoil
And be called by no name except "deportees"?

Your platform is simple: High walls. Big gates. Tough love for rulebreakers, whether they are people without documents or employers without scruples.

(Reality check: once you are elected, build that wall. For real. Blow open the H1B program — it will pay back in your first term.
And register the illegals, even though the ACLU will scream.

Ship a few crooks and bums home — and nail anybody who fails to
register. Make a big deal about it.

But face it, anybody who registers and makes
a life here accumulates enough points to eventually become a citizen.
We need them, we should welcome them, and there is not the slightest
chance that you
are sending them home.
But that can be our little secret).

Obama, you don’t have many more chances left to clearly distinguish yourself from Hillary Clinton, to sound a clear and moderate voice for change, to be both tough and balanced on a major issue, and to demonstrate that you can tell some people what they don’t want to hear. You are the son of an immigrant and this can be a very good issue for you. Seize it.

Elections, Immigration, Obama

If you enjoyed this post, please subscribe to the feed and get future articles delivered to your feed reader.